Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 911.057666 1034.986293 1174.749027 1345.075440 1548.435059 1785.200448 2084.286138
2025-02-02 739.997194 902.889586 1104.707508 1377.353283 1742.724192 2225.406280 2928.772419
2025-02-09 647.246361 825.511770 1059.902662 1398.698684 1889.977775 2600.316584 3753.179965
2025-02-16 572.741142 755.418716 1006.815827 1390.056952 1982.480316 2906.458017 4554.423285
2025-02-23 529.817311 720.017419 992.740881 1429.373169 2146.340929 3350.133259 5712.547205
2025-03-02 494.821530 690.153266 980.508378 1466.201487 2309.076007 3826.154906 7096.087732
2025-03-09 458.981590 654.150179 953.166927 1472.424549 2418.056536 4229.397185 8489.216828
2025-03-16 423.545330 614.620211 914.892426 1453.230513 2475.498749 4544.991741 9818.297755
2025-03-23 401.442290 593.466744 903.288942 1477.710045 2618.479425 5072.200576 11920.583203
2025-03-30 369.432185 553.323545 855.605315 1429.677215 2607.504949 5257.605983 13189.586461
2025-04-06 342.134590 518.588721 813.651255 1386.636550 2598.746040 5445.868906 14573.703244
2025-04-13 317.187009 485.819233 772.074015 1339.041932 2571.774299 5583.157165 15879.523074
2025-04-20 309.051651 481.704115 782.296699 1398.018026 2801.732104 6476.687456 20615.190847
2025-04-27 297.558651 470.940174 779.610098 1431.142637 2981.902054 7313.027133 26016.361221
2025-05-04 285.816324 458.627055 772.555724 1453.664211 3141.217383 8154.716051 32459.141753
2025-05-11 271.424487 440.379272 752.349656 1444.572944 3217.637993 8768.179422 38577.431923
2025-05-18 263.890971 434.012832 754.524629 1485.888255 3439.729432 9985.597425 50398.665155
2025-05-25 256.576334 427.429876 755.529566 1524.602268 3665.350913 11342.433917 66306.058701
2025-06-01 246.648807 415.151159 743.770257 1531.145396 3798.727411 12414.578850 82881.335183
2025-06-08 235.042176 398.859149 722.285844 1510.965511 3845.908970 13152.961615 98626.179916
2025-06-15 228.344735 391.628048 719.205383 1536.703025 4047.715357 14731.792834 130691.101808
2025-06-22 215.742856 372.007933 688.065876 1486.207654 3984.899996 14989.178259 146036.197130
2025-06-29 204.463474 354.402504 660.075873 1440.980787 3932.015461 15286.610776 164155.493123